2026 Bowman Football
Bowman's NFL brand is back with pro rookies and college prospects in one box. Here's what each format holds, what the autographs are selling for, and how often the big names show up.
- Released
- Sep 30, 2026
- Hobby box now
- About $384
- Hobby box config
- 20 packs × 8
- Autos per hobby box
- 2
- Base set
- 200 NFL + 201 college
- Chrome auto signers
- 361
The scorecard
The same numbers for every release, so you can line products up. Compare all releases
Priced from real sales: 79% of expected hit valueBiggest single share: Fernando Mendoza, 14%512 autograph signers
Bowman Football is back after a decade away, and this time it isn’t only NFL. The 2026 set puts licensed NFL cards and licensed college cards in the same box for the first time. It came out September 30.
A hobby box is 20 packs of eight cards with two autographs. Topps listed it at $309.99 on release day, and sealed boxes have sold for about $384 on eBay since. Topps published odds for every autograph and parallel, and the first week of sales is in, so this one runs on real numbers.
What's in it
The set at a glance, from Topps' checklist and odds sheet.
Swipe for more
100 NFL veterans and 100 rookies, plus 201 college prospects, each in paper and Chrome. Every NFL team is here, along with 88 colleges.
20 packs of eight cards. Jumbo boxes are 12 packs of 24 cards with 4 autographs, and recent ones sold for about $660.
A Breaker's Delight is one 10-card pack with 3 autographs, one of them a Delight-only Geometric parallel. First Day Issue boxes add an FDI-only Chrome auto numbered to 14.
Megas are 6 packs of 7 with Mojo parallels and Mega Rookies you can't get elsewhere. Value blasters are the only place to find paper autographs.
- Fernando Mendoza
- Arch Manning
- CJ Carr
- Kamario Taylor
- Drew Mestemaker
The highest standard-auto medians in the first week, rookies and college players together.
- Arch Manning
- 1955 All American
- Dual Cross Sport
This is Arch Manning's first Topps card after a new exclusive deal. Legends sign 1955 All American cards, and the Dual Cross Sport autos pair Joe Burrow with Paul Skenes, among others.
What the numbers say
Five things Topps' odds and the first week of sales tell you.
- ~$65auto value in an average hobby box
01The two autos usually don't cover a $384 box.
Add up every autograph and parallel by its odds and its typical sale, and the autos in an average hobby box come to about $65. The middle rookie auto has sold for about $14 and the middle college prospect auto for about $10. Base parallels and inserts add a little on top.
- 15%of that average is one player
02Fernando Mendoza carries the rookie side.
His standard Chrome Rookie Auto has a $560 median across nine sales. That makes him about 15% of the auto value in an average box. Any Mendoza autograph turns up in about 1 in 102 hobby boxes, or roughly one case in nine.
- 1 in 19hobby boxes has a $90+ rookie or prospect auto
03Eleven names clear $90 so far.
Mendoza, Arch Manning, CJ Carr, Kamario Taylor, Drew Mestemaker, Jacob Rodriguez, Jared Curtis, Aaron Philo, Ty Simpson, Jeremiyah Love and Cam Coleman. Expect a standard or parallel Chrome auto of one of them in about 1 in 19 hobby boxes. A few of those prices rest on one or two sales.
- 39%of hobby boxes has a college prospect auto
04Most boxes lean NFL.
From Topps' odds, an average hobby box holds about 0.9 rookie autos and 0.5 college prospect autos. The prospect pool is twice as big at 194 signers, so any one college name is harder to hit: Arch Manning's standard auto falls about 1 in 1,250 hobby boxes.
- 1 in 7mega boxes has an autograph
05Retail is for parallels.
A mega box has an autograph about 1 in 7 times and a value blaster about 1 in 17. Paper autographs are blaster only, and the Mojo parallels and Mega Rookies are mega only.
Check your odds
Pick a format. Then look at the whole product, a single player, a team or school, or how they all stack up.
How we got these
How we got these numbers
Odds are Topps’ published pack odds from the odds sheet on its product page. “1 in 40” means you’d expect one in 40 of that purchase. It doesn’t mean the 40th one is due.
Topps’ published autograph odds add up to about 1.5 per hobby box, 3 per jumbo and 2 per Breaker’s Delight, short of the 2, 4 and 3 it guarantees. The tool fills each gap with a generic rookie auto at a typical price.
Values are raw eBay sales from September 25 to October 8, 2026. Graded cards, lots, paper autos and Best Offer sales are left out.
What to keep in mind
- It’s one week of sales. Early prices move, and many players have only one or two sales. Those are marked.
- Parallels are priced as a multiple of the player’s standard auto, from players with both sales: about 1.2x for /499, 2x for /150, 4x for /50, 5x for /25, 10x for /10 and 12x for /5 on rookies, a bit less on college prospects. Veterans use the prospect multiples. The /3 and 1/1 multiples are assumptions.
- Insert autos without their own sales are priced off the player’s main Chrome auto and marked ≈. Signers with no sales yet sit at the low end of the set, about $7.
- Paper autos, legend autos, duals and triples show as “Not priced.” Their odds are real, but there’s no fair price for them yet.
- Rookies are listed by NFL team and college prospects by school, so tiers mix both.
Sources
Odds and checklist from Topps (the Download odds and Download checklist links). Print runs, box configurations and release pricing via Checklist Insider. Box and card sales from eBay sold listings, pulled October 8, 2026.